The GNPC, the Law,
and Kosmos
E.
Ablorh-Odjidja August 7, 2010
In a
piece titled, “Kosmos Broke No Laws”, GNPC defended
its actions against Kosmos. What happened after this
piece was written invites comment; if not for any
reason other than to reveal a peculiar mindset it
attempted to conceal.
Writing for the GNPC,
Mr. Thomas Manu, Director of Exploration and
Production at GNPC, claimed Kosmos attempted to sell
her Jubilee Oil Field in a “wanton disregard for the
laws of Ghana and willful indifference to compliance
with its obligations under Petroleum Agreements, to
which it is a party.”
Kosmos was alleged in
this claim to be guilty of making “GNPC data
available to over twenty international oil
companies, including Exxon Mobil,” in the attempt to
sell her oil production stakes.
A serious
charge. So, why would GNPC not go directly to the
courts for redress if it has been harmed as
asserted?
As Mr. Manu explained it, “Over
the past one year, rather than regularizing the data
breaches, Kosmos and Exxon Mobil have engaged in
various transactions with each other, and have also
ignored the clear indications from the Government of
Ghana that compliance with the laws of Ghana is a
fundamental pre-condition for investing in Ghana.”
GNPC was, therefore, implying a contractual
breach by Kosmos. Again, shouldn’t the courts be the
arbiter now?
Instead, GNPC has so far
preferred to turn this case into a political drama;
all to the detriment of the country’s budding
reputation as an attractive investment destination.
In the context of this case against Kosmos,
GNPC could have assumed it a given, right from
start, that any investor/wildcatter in the petroleum
industry would eventually put his stakes up for
sale, Kosmos not exempted.
Kosmos would
sell, with profit in mind. To have assumed that a
business-savvy petroleum company like Kosmos would
not eventually sell its find, with profit in mind,
would be a case of extreme naivety.
GNPC,
with this case against Kosmos, must have assumed
that the Ghana public was ignorant about this
selling tendency in the petroleum industry.
Currently on offer to Kosmos is the $4 bn benchmarks
from Exxon-Mobil. Understandably, for the sale to be
completed, it has to be substantiated with the
exploration data. But, the sale could not be
accomplished. Mr. Manu, in his missive, did not
explain why.
Mr. Manu’s GNPC, which sat idly
under the NPP government is now the super-active
keeper of the petroleum laws under the new NDC
government. The same laws under which the Kosmos/Exxon
sale is being conducted were still in place under
the previous administration.
To no one’s
surprise, from 2009 onward the GNPC has come under
new management, the NDC government.
GNPC has
now become more aggressive and is blocking the sale,
not through the laws and the courts, but by a series
of political maneuvers.
Manu’s missive seems
to promote the idea that Kosmos is not dealing in
good faith. That she has illegally exposed data
belonging to the GNPC, thus Ghana, to a long list of
prospective buyers, and therefore, has done damage
to Ghana.
Yet, despite the list of grievances
alleged, Manu says GNPC has plans to sell the Kosmos
stakes at a “fair market value.”
What “fair
market value” is for GNPC and Manu remains to be
seen. The offer of $4 bn by Exxon-Mobil is
considered by many experts as “fair market value.”
But it is looking very much like the change
in administrations has something to do with the
shift in the GNPC business approach. Manu's
accusation of Kosmos of having done “irreparable
damage” to Ghana with the exposure of exploration
data as part of the sale attempt is the political
part of the drama.
How any fair market price
could be offered for a “petroleum prospective”
without examination of the data involved, is a
highly perplexing proposition.
Some experts
think the GNPC’s grievance so far has all to do with
the size of the sale. Some 4bn for the Kosmos stake
is a price that the GNPC could not afford.
Therefore, the drama we are seeing now is a ploy to
force Kosmos’ value downward to within a range that
GNPC could afford to buy.
But will this
lower price entail the “fair market value” that the
GNPC still insists on?
According to Mr. Manu,
“as the national oil company, the GNPC has a duty to
ensure that all petroleum activities are conducted
per the laws which have been enacted to protect
Ghana’s interests.”
We should assume then
that the fair market price is the downward one that
GNPC is looking to materialize.
However,
some think low-balling of the price does not support
a fair market practice. That the effort is driven by
some selfish aim is the more plausible reason. And
judging by the GNPC’s attitude now, this may seem
the case.
But, as Mr. Manu explains, “no
entity can conduct exploration, development or
production of petroleum without partnering GNPC.”
We are yet to understand from him why a
purchase by Exxon-Mobil will preclude this option.
Or, perhaps, the GNPC wants a preferred oil
company as the next partner. Perhaps, one from
China?
How the global market reacts to this
Exxon/Kosmos case in Ghana is another matter. But
this seems not to be a consequence that the GNPC has
thought worthy of consideration.
Throughout
the exploration years by Kosmos, the GNPC never
accused Kosmos’ of wanton disregard for the laws of
Ghana.”
Suddenly with the change in
political administrations, the GNPC has become aware
of a transgression. Kosmos’ sales effort started
under the old NPP regime. And now, under the new NDC
regime, the Kosmos stakes to Exxon-Mobile have made
the GNPC super sensitive about the sale.
The
case has not reached the courts, but Mr. Manu has
already defined the damage.
“The loss of
potential licensing fees as a result of Kosmos’
unlawful conduct is significant. Reduction in the
inherent value of the data, as a result of making it
available to such a wide group of recipients, has
increased the risk of wider dissemination and
unauthorized use… and has irreversibly altered the
investment landscape in respect of these assets in a
way that constitutes a very substantial negative
economic impact on Ghana.”
Yet, and again,
despite the ‘reduction in the inherent value of the
data’ alleged, the GNPC still wants to own the oil
stakes of Kosmos, hence the need to put restrictions
on the data exposure.
But any contract that
seeks to limit the show of information on a property
before purchase must raise a huge concern for the
buyer. In this case, the restriction, as sought by a
state institution such as GNPC, must be deemed
unfair to Kosmos.
Exposure of data for the
sale of petroleum prospective or any worthy property
must be a must. Only dupes can be expected to buy
properties without the disclosure of documents or
necessary data on the property.
The Brooklyn
Bridge of New York was once offered for sale without
document. And that sale made history for the wrong
reason.
Exxon-Mobil has the “financial
capabilities” required to make the purchase
legitimate. But the requirement for “the alignment
of their strategic interests (Exxon-Mobil in this
case) with ours (the GNPC)” is is another matter.
While this “alignment” may look innocuous on
paper, in reality, this part of the proffer can be
the spear point to pierce the deal. The prospect of
the most capable potential buyer can sink under this
above arrangement/
The GNPC’s wish to buy the
controlling shares of Jubilee is as clear as it is
hopelessly ambitious. On the question of competency
alone, Exxon-Mobil is better positioned to give us
more bang for the buck, with its worldwide
production and distribution network.
The history of our
state-controlled enterprises offers no hope that we
can compete successfully in this global arena called
the petroleum industry, even at the continental
level.
E. Ablorh-Odjidja, Publisher
www.ghanadot.com, Washington, DC, August 7, 2010
Permission to publish: Please feel free to publish
or reproduce, with credits, unedited.
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